And, in case anyone was wondering, swimming in Superior during the big Memorial Day afternoon picnic - even with the temperature being 80 degrees or so - really called for lots more beers beforehand than any of us had suspected.
And so, it was bitterly, lung-paralyzingly cold. In case anyone wondered.
Here in MN, we're all burning lots of dirty coal mixed with sludge oil from the tanker scrapings.
Not for heat or anything. Just in 55-gallon drums, to get that carbon dioxide drifting up to join the greenhouse ceiling. C'mon, warming!
Now. a non-kneejerk question... is this historically typical, or is it unusual? I suspect and presume the latter, but am wondering if it's colder than typical (suggesting that AGW is as whack as I believe it to be) or is it typical (suggesting... pretty much nothing either way, which is anti-AGW indicative, but notably less so).
See the link I posted below. This is the largest ice extent for this late in the year since the start of the satellite era, This is a long enough time period to conclude that it is a-typical.
Yes, it's the largest extent since Reagan was in office. But that doesn't make it a-typical. 30 years isn't a very long period of time. Lake Superior is too far North for this sort of thing to happen on a somewhat regular basis.
I'm with you Bobby B. It is amazing how well Al Gore's carbon credit plan (scheme) has worked. Stopped that warming in its tracks and actually reversed the trend line. I'm thinking its time for a carbon debit scheme, I mean plan. You pay me money, I'll cut down and burn a tree.
I was informed by a friend that the presence of ICE in the lake when the air temperature is warm is an example to the Government practicing Geo-engineering like the drought in California to keep the Fukushima radiation from reaching the US shores.
30 years is the standard period used by the warmists to define climate normals, why shouldn't we use that against them when things go the other way?
"Lake Superior is too far North for this sort of thing to happen on a somewhat regular basis."
Sure, if you are talking about geologic time scales, which the average person can't comprehend. Personally, I wouldn't describe something that happens once or twice in a human lifespan as happening on a "somewhat regular basis"
My Facebook is full of people pics where the people were standing on the icebergs in Superior. It isn't a trivial top coat. Some of the ice is a few feet deep.
No, they will either try to claim that ice on lake Superior so late in the year is caused by global warming or they will try to claim that their used to be much more ice and the vanishing summer ice is a major problem.
Our statements are actually complementary. First they would claim it is normal and then like you say will claim that it is vanishing at a greater rate each year.
15 years of non-warming is enough time to invalidate the warmist climate models because they specifically predicted rapid, continuing warming.
200 years is not enough time to actually model the Earth's climate. We just don't know all of the variations which are or can be produced naturally. We can measure trends on 10 year time scales, but how is it possible to make any predictions?
It amazes me that warmist "science" is based at all on measurements of plants (trees) growing 500 years ago. How do we calibrate plants? Are we crazy enough as a species to form national energy policy on the fossilized growth patterns of say 100 plants in Siberia? It is mind boggling.
Immigration and Customs Enforcement in the lake can only mean one thing. They are helping illegal immigrants move to Wisconsin to help the anti Scott Walker vote and to help elect officials in Michigan amenable to continuing the subsidies to Detroit.
I don't think the consistency problem is with the skeptics. Have a storm blows in and we hear it is all die to global warming - skeptics make jokes about cooling after an ENTIRE winter of much colder weather and the alarmist have to remind us it is weather not climate.
18 years since the largest El NiƱo in recorded history. The word you're looking for isn't "weather," it's "ocean-atmosphere oscillation." Unremarkably, an unusual large pool of warm water in the middle of the largest ocean in the world has an effect on global air temperatures. To be fair you should reset the "no warming since" clock in 2010, and likely once again in 2014 / 2015.
16 years since that El Nino - and NOAA has been goosing the numbers ever since to keep the temps from falling to on greatly from that level. Without the goosing the temps.have probably dropped 0.6 degC since 1998. Even with goosing - NOAA hasn't been able to credibly "correct" the numbers enough to hide the tenth degree decline.
Yes ocean oscillations - the alarmists tried to deny they existed.
Scientists have had a pretty good grasp on ENSO for over 50 years. Darwin actually made some prescient observations and interpretations on the Beagle on related atmospheric teleconnections. While the details of effects are complicated, the idea that a giant warm pool (and suppressed upwelling) has impacts on atmospheric processes and temperature is obvious.
I am well aware that there are cool and warm periods of approximately 30 years in both the Atlantic and Pacific and am sure Darwin recorded this - which is why it is extra bizarre that the climate science scaremongers have been working so hard to pretend these things don't exist - along with a denial of various warm periods including the medieval warm period.
It is pretty sad - up to about 2004 the Pacific was in is warm period - but all the warming was attributed to AGW.
In fact Warren Meyer had a post where he showed a normal trend line increase due to natural warming from exiting the little ice age with the Pacific decidal oscillations and amazingly he conjured up the temperature trend line - something 194 models failed to do.
Matthew Slyfield:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/05/27/still-ice-on-lake-superior-never-before-seen-in-satellite-era/
May 28, 2014, 12:52 pmSam L.:
But...GLOBAL WARMING!!!!!!!?
May 28, 2014, 1:39 pmNicholas Krom:
Is that the campground just west of Munising, with Grand Island in the distance?
May 28, 2014, 1:41 pmbobby_b:
And, in case anyone was wondering, swimming in Superior during the big Memorial Day afternoon picnic - even with the temperature being 80 degrees or so - really called for lots more beers beforehand than any of us had suspected.
And so, it was bitterly, lung-paralyzingly cold. In case anyone wondered.
Here in MN, we're all burning lots of dirty coal mixed with sludge oil from the tanker scrapings.
Not for heat or anything. Just in 55-gallon drums, to get that carbon dioxide drifting up to join the greenhouse ceiling. C'mon, warming!
May 28, 2014, 3:25 pmmesocyclone:
That's why they call it climate "change." Obviously, growing CO2 is causing that ice.
May 28, 2014, 8:43 pmtmitsss:
Could someone photoshop some polar bears and penguins
May 28, 2014, 8:51 pmobloodyhell:
Yay, Warming!!!
Now. a non-kneejerk question... is this historically typical, or is it unusual? I suspect and presume the latter, but am wondering if it's colder than typical (suggesting that AGW is as whack as I believe it to be) or is it typical (suggesting... pretty much nothing either way, which is anti-AGW indicative, but notably less so).
May 29, 2014, 3:25 amMatthew Slyfield:
See the link I posted below. This is the largest ice extent for this late in the year since the start of the satellite era, This is a long enough time period to conclude that it is a-typical.
May 29, 2014, 6:19 amrst1317:
Yes, it's the largest extent since Reagan was in office. But that doesn't make it a-typical. 30 years isn't a very long period of time. Lake Superior is too far North for this sort of thing to happen on a somewhat regular basis.
May 29, 2014, 6:42 amNehemiah:
I'm with you Bobby B. It is amazing how well Al Gore's carbon credit plan (scheme) has worked. Stopped that warming in its tracks and actually reversed the trend line. I'm thinking its time for a carbon debit scheme, I mean plan. You pay me money, I'll cut down and burn a tree.
May 29, 2014, 7:54 amCanvasback:
You mean South?
May 29, 2014, 9:09 amCanvasback:
Whatever. It's a nice picture.
May 29, 2014, 9:09 amO Yeah:
I was informed by a friend that the presence of ICE in the lake when the air temperature is warm is an example to the Government practicing Geo-engineering like the drought in California to keep the Fukushima radiation from reaching the US shores.
May 29, 2014, 9:41 amMatthew Slyfield:
No, he means too far north for this sort of thing to not happen on a somewhat regular basis.
May 29, 2014, 10:10 amMatthew Slyfield:
"30 years isn't a very long period of time."
30 years is the standard period used by the warmists to define climate normals, why shouldn't we use that against them when things go the other way?
"Lake Superior is too far North for this sort of thing to happen on a somewhat regular basis."
Sure, if you are talking about geologic time scales, which the average person can't comprehend. Personally, I wouldn't describe something that happens once or twice in a human lifespan as happening on a "somewhat regular basis"
May 29, 2014, 10:15 amrst1317:
Sorry, i did mean for too far north for it to not happen.
May 29, 2014, 10:36 ammarque2:
My Facebook is full of people pics where the people were standing on the icebergs in Superior. It isn't a trivial top coat. Some of the ice is a few feet deep.
May 29, 2014, 12:19 pmmarque2:
Maybe 34 years is enough for him?
May 29, 2014, 12:21 pmmarque2:
By the way - wait until 2016 when it happens again and then all the alarmists will tell us it is a normal occurrence.
May 29, 2014, 12:22 pmMatthew Slyfield:
No, they will either try to claim that ice on lake Superior so late in the year is caused by global warming or they will try to claim that their used to be much more ice and the vanishing summer ice is a major problem.
May 29, 2014, 2:44 pmobloodyhell:
I'd pay if they'd burn some tree huggers while they were at it...
May 29, 2014, 6:02 pmmarque2:
Our statements are actually complementary. First they would claim it is normal and then like you say will claim that it is vanishing at a greater rate each year.
May 29, 2014, 6:03 pmobloodyhell:
Yeah, spotted that after I posted. Good link.
May 29, 2014, 6:03 pmmarque2:
Largest extent since Carter has been in office. 34 years.
May 29, 2014, 9:38 pmmarque2:
South is now north and north is becoming south. I blame Climate Change.
May 29, 2014, 9:38 pmAndrew_M_Garland:
15 years of non-warming is enough time to invalidate the warmist climate models because they specifically predicted rapid, continuing warming.
200 years is not enough time to actually model the Earth's climate. We just don't know all of the variations which are or can be produced naturally. We can measure trends on 10 year time scales, but how is it possible to make any predictions?
It amazes me that warmist "science" is based at all on measurements of plants (trees) growing 500 years ago. How do we calibrate plants? Are we crazy enough as a species to form national energy policy on the fossilized growth patterns of say 100 plants in Siberia? It is mind boggling.
EasyOpinions.blogspot.com
May 29, 2014, 10:25 pmmarque2:
Icebergs - this years lettuce crop should be great!
May 30, 2014, 8:49 ammarque2:
17 years 9 months of no warming.
May 31, 2014, 7:53 ammarque2:
Immigration and Customs Enforcement in the lake can only mean one thing. They are helping illegal immigrants move to Wisconsin to help the anti Scott Walker vote and to help elect officials in Michigan amenable to continuing the subsidies to Detroit.
May 31, 2014, 7:57 ammarque2:
Is it Dry ice?
May 31, 2014, 7:57 amFelineCannonball:
Cold snap/heat wave nonsense. If one is irrelevant for validifying model results, the other is irrelevant for refuting them. At least be consistent.
May 31, 2014, 8:25 ammarque2:
I don't think the consistency problem is with the skeptics. Have a storm blows in and we hear it is all die to global warming - skeptics make jokes about cooling after an ENTIRE winter of much colder weather and the alarmist have to remind us it is weather not climate.
Talk about being one sided and needing reminders.
June 1, 2014, 9:26 amFelineCannonball:
18 years since the largest El NiƱo in recorded history. The word you're looking for isn't "weather," it's "ocean-atmosphere oscillation." Unremarkably, an unusual large pool of warm water in the middle of the largest ocean in the world has an effect on global air temperatures. To be fair you should reset the "no warming since" clock in 2010, and likely once again in 2014 / 2015.
June 1, 2014, 1:38 pmmarque2:
16 years since that El Nino - and NOAA has been goosing the numbers ever since to keep the temps from falling to on greatly from that level. Without the goosing the temps.have probably dropped 0.6 degC since 1998. Even with goosing - NOAA hasn't been able to credibly "correct" the numbers enough to hide the tenth degree decline.
Yes ocean oscillations - the alarmists tried to deny they existed.
June 1, 2014, 3:07 pmFelineCannonball:
Scientists have had a pretty good grasp on ENSO for over 50 years. Darwin actually made some prescient observations and interpretations on the Beagle on related atmospheric teleconnections. While the details of effects are complicated, the idea that a giant warm pool (and suppressed upwelling) has impacts on atmospheric processes and temperature is obvious.
June 1, 2014, 10:40 pmmarque2:
I am well aware that there are cool and warm periods of approximately 30 years in both the Atlantic and Pacific and am sure Darwin recorded this - which is why it is extra bizarre that the climate science scaremongers have been working so hard to pretend these things don't exist - along with a denial of various warm periods including the medieval warm period.
It is pretty sad - up to about 2004 the Pacific was in is warm period - but all the warming was attributed to AGW.
In fact Warren Meyer had a post where he showed a normal trend line increase due to natural warming from exiting the little ice age with the Pacific decidal oscillations and amazingly he conjured up the temperature trend line - something 194 models failed to do.
June 2, 2014, 8:27 am